According to Bovada, the four teams with the highest odds to win the NBA championship are the Miami Heat (10-13 odds), Oklahoma City Thunder (9-2 odds), San Antonio Spurs (7-1 odds), and the New York Knicks (15-1 odds). What 10-13 odds mean is that to win $10 you have to risk $13.
A crucial element to a successful title run is an effective secondary lineup. I look at the second most-utilized lineups for each of these four teams.
Here are some quick observations:
- Most of the lineups are basically slight offshoots of the top lineup. Take Miami’s lineup — they basically swap Haslem for Battier or OKC’s lineup where they change Sefolosha for Martin.
- The New York Knicks lineup is surprisingly bad, relative to the other second lineups. Part of their struggles are because of their terrible defending — they give up 108.3 points per 100 possessions which is roughly what the Sacramento Kings have given up all season.
- Will San Antonio’s versatility be a strength or a weakness come playoff time? The Spurs have four lineups that have played at least 100 minutes.