Apr 14, 2013; Miami, FL, USA; Miami Heat point guard Norris Cole (right) drives to the basket as Chicago Bulls shooting guard Daequan Cook (center) and Chicago Bulls small forward Jimmy Butler (left) defend the play during the second half at American Airlines Arena. Miami won 105-93. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Why The Chicago Bulls Scare Me Just A Little Bit...


Am I worried about the Chicago Bulls?  No, of course not!  Are you kidding me?  They have trouble scoring, two of their best players are either sick or injured, and they just came off a taxing seven-game series while the Heat have had what seems like a month to rest and heal in Miami.

And yet…I still can’t forget about this

And when I look at the data, I still can’t forget about this

Basically, of the nine NBA five-man lineups that have played at least 30 minutes against the Bulls this season, the Bosh, Chalmers, Haslem, James, Wade lineup has played the worst out of any of the nine lineups.  They have a net point differential of -7.2 points per 100 possessions, which basically means that this lineup gets outscored by 7.2 points per 100 possessions when playing the Bulls.

Part of the reason this lineup struggles against the Bulls is that they turn the ball over, a lot.  Against the Bulls, this lineup has turned the ball over on 22.7% of its possessions — the Houston Rockets had the worst turnover percentage in the NBA and they only turned the ball over 16.6% of the time.

The good news?  This lineup does not have trouble scoring against the Bulls.  Bosh, Chalmers, Haslem, James, and Wade still have a true shooting percentage of 56.9% against the Bulls, which is roughly what the San Antonio Spurs shot all season.

Do I think the Heat will beat the Bulls?

Yes.

Do the Bulls worry me because the Big Three have been terrible against the Bulls this season?

Yes.

Tags: Chicago Bulls Miami Heat