Miami Heat: Duncan Robinson And The Mystery Of His Shooting Slump

Miami Heat: Duncan Robinson And The Mystery Of His Shooting Slump

One hypothesis is that he benefited from the lack of fans, as everyone did in the previous year. Shooting this year is down, league-wide, compared to last.

Could it be that Robinson’s two prominent years of success came when there were no fans in the arena? Well, no.

The data doesn’t support this claim. In the months before the halt of the 2020 NBA season due to Covid-19, Robinson was shooting 45.1 percent from three.

That was in the 99th percentile of all wing players per CleaningTheGlass.com (subscription required). Perhaps, he is taking more shots now, a nod to the Law Of Diminishing Returns.

This is an example where his shooting is a radically sloping bell curve, perhaps indicating that his accuracy is only good in smaller attempts.

Again, the answer here is no. He is averaging 8.6 three-point attempts a game.

That’s just about the exact same as last year and only slightly more than the year prior to that. Maybe it has something to do with where he’s shooting from then or how open he is?

It has to be something, right?