NBA 2K20 predicts the Miami Heat will lose to the New York Knicks

The Miami Heat travel to the state of New York to face the New York Knicks on Sunday afternoon. What does NBA 2K20 have to say about the matchup?

The Miami Heat continue their road trip with a stop at Madison Square Garden to face the New York Knicks. Coming off a disappointing late meltdown against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday, this could be the cure for what ails the Heat on the road.

In our ongoing NBA 2K20 game-day preview series, we turn to Sunday afternoon’s game between the Heat and Knicks. The Heat bring their 27-11 record on the road to face the 10-29 Knicks.

We’ve been predicting game outcomes for the Heat using NBA 2K20 for almost a month, and for better or worse to this point we’ve only gotten three games incorrect. Once again we’ll look to the advanced predictive powers of NBA 2K to get an idea of what to expect in this game between the Heat and Knicks.

First, the ground rules. We modified the Knicks’ lineup to reflect their rotation and minutes from their last game, a 123-111 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. As for the Heat, we’ll follow their minutes and rotation as closely as possible relative to their past few games.

In order to reflect the Heat’s defensive tendencies, we moved up head coach Erik Spoelstra’s run zone tendency from five percent to 50 percent. We also changed Bam Adebayo’s secondary position to power forward since Meyers Leonard’s positions look that way. Lastly,we edited Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, and Adebayo’s vitals to allow them to initiate the offense.

Starting lineups
Miami Heat

Point guard, Kendrick Nunn

Shooting guard, Duncan Robinson

Small forward, Jimmy Butler

Power forward, Bam Adebayo

Center, Meyers Leonard

New York Knicks

Point guard, Elfrid Payton

Shooting guard, Reggie Bullock

Small forward, R.J. Barrett

Power forward, Bobby Portis

Center, Taj Gibson

Outcome

New York Knicks 117, Miami Heat 107

These road woes continue to plague the Heat, and it seems the NBA 2K20 simulation is well aware of it. The simulation picked the Nets in the last game, and it’s done the same thing again with the hometown Knicks.

This game took the opposite trend of the last real-life game for the Heat. The Knicks got off to a hot start, outscoring the Heat 27-19 in the first quarter and 28-18 in the second quarter. The Heat tore off a 44-24 third quarter to actually take back the lead, but the Knicks closed strong with a 38-26 final stanza.

Both teams shot poorly from 3-point range, with the Heat going 10-of-33 from long distance and the Knicks going 7-of-23. The Knicks outscored the Heat by three points from the free throw line, and they shot 55 percent from 2-point range while the Heat were 50.8 percent.

Player stats

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler – 25 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal, 2 blocks

Bam Adebayo – 19 points, 18 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal

Tyler Herro – 18 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist

Duncan Robinson – 13 points, 2 rebounds, 1 steal

Kendrick Nunn – 7 points, 4 rebounds, 10 assists

New York Knicks

Julius Randle – 23 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists

R.J. Barrett – 21 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 2 blocks

Elfrid Payton – 14 points, 4 rebounds, 8 assists, 2 steals

Bobby Portis – 12 points, 10 rebounds, 1 steal

Allonzo Trier – 11 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists

Next: Why does Dwyane Wade have all the jobs?

Make sure to check back Wednesday morning for our next projections between the Miami Heat and the San Antonio Spurs.