Miami Heat: Will Tyler Herro’s deal be a ‘good’ one in 2024?
By Eric Fritts
Miami Heat: Will Tyler Herro’s Deal Be A ‘Good’ One in 2024?
On last season Herro, still on his rookie deal, was paid for 1.2 wins. He contributed 4.4 estimated wins, (78th percentile per dunksandthrees.com) giving him 3.2 bonus wins.
That would indicate that his extra contributions exceed his financial compensation. Simple enough, right?
This coming season he will still be on the rookie scale contract, so it’s safe to say he will provide similar or better stats and therefore similar bonus wins. Where this all starts to get spicier is in 2024.
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If we give the league another ten percent salary cap increase from 2023 to 2024, a very rough estimate, then one win will be worth a little over $4 million. Under these parameters, Herro will need to provide 7.15 estimated wins for the team to get equal value back for the estimated $29.02 million he is owed that season.
For this particular stat, 4.4 to 7.15 is a big jump but it’s certainly not at all impossible. Looking at some similar players for perspective: Jordan Clarkson had 6.4 estimated wins last season, Tyrese Maxey had 6.7, Jalen Brunson had 8.1, and Jaylen Brown had 8.6.
Herro can certainly rank somewhere within that group, given his pace of growth.