The Miami Heat snapped a big losing streak on Wednesday night, and now they’re looking to keep that rolling on the road against the Washington Wizards.
Even though Miami is favored, it’s hard to trust the team on the road, as the Heat are just 3-5-1 ATS as road favorites this season.
So, why not take some plays in the prop market? I have a bet for Heat star Jimmy Butler, who has been red hot as of late, and another Heat starter for tonight’s action.
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Heat vs. Wizards best NBA prop bets
- Jimmy Butler OVER 22.5 points
- Daniel Gafford OVER 7.5 rebounds
- Terry Rozier UNDER 24.5 points, rebounds and assists
Jimmy Butler OVER 22.5 points
Butler has scored 31, 26, and 28 points in his last three games, and now he’s facing the No. 28 defense in the NBA on Friday night.
The Heat need Butler to be aggressive, and he’s taken more shots as of late – especially from the line where he’s attempted 22 free throws over his last two games.
Washington has struggled mightily to defend this season and plays uptempo, ranking No. 1 in the league in pace.
I love Butler to go over this prop as he continues to push his scoring average up (now at 21.4 points per game).
Daniel Gafford OVER 7.5 rebounds
Washington big man Daniel Gafford may be undervalued in this prop on Friday night.
The Wizards starting center is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game this season, and he’s played well over his last 11 games.
Gafford has cleared 7.5 rebounds seven times over that stretch, averaging 16.7 rebounds chances per game. He’s put up 8.6 rebounds per game over that stretch.
Miami ranks just 21st in the league in rebounding percentage, so don’t be shocked if Gafford has a big night on the glass.
Terry Rozier UNDER 24.5 points, rebounds and assists
Since joining the Heat, Terry Rozier is averaging just 10.0 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game, struggling mightily with his shot.
The former Hornets guard is shooting just 34.5 percent from the field across five games in Miami, clearing this prop just one time. In that game, Rozier scored 21 points, but he followed that up with just three points in a win over the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday night.
I have to fade him at this number on Friday – even against a weak Washington defense.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.