Best NBA prop bets today for Heat vs. Pacers (Bam Adebayo should dominate glass)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Miami Heat-Indiana Pacers matchup on Sunday.
Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo.
Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo. / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat have a massive matchup on Sunday evening against the Indiana Pacers, as a win would put the Heat ahead of Indiana on the season and into the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference.

Both of these teams want to avoid the play-in tournament in the East, but with Tyrese Haliburton listed as questionable, I’m focusing on the Miami side for my favorite bets in this game.

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Here are a pair of player props to consider on Sunday for Heat vs. Pacers: 

Heat vs. Pacers best NBA prop bets 

  • Bam Adebayo OVER 10.5 rebounds
  • Terry Rozier UNDER 3.5 assists

Bam Adebayo OVER 10.5 rebounds

This is a favorable matchup for Heat big man Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 10.7 rebounds per game on the season and has cleared 10.5 rebounds in eight of his last 12 games, averaging 12.1 rebounds per game over that stretch. 

Indiana plays uptempo, ranking second in the NBA in pace, which should mean there will be plenty of chances to hit the glass in this one. Plus, the Pacers rank just 24th in the NBA in rebounding percentage this season. 

Given how badly the Heat need this game, I’d expect to see plenty of minutes for the All-Star center, and I think he’s undervalued sitting at plus money to grab 11 boards. 

Terry Rozier UNDER 3.5 assists

I’m fading Terry Rozier in this assist prop, as he’s gone under this number in nine of his last 11 games. 

Rozier is averaging under 7.0 potential assists in his last 10, putting up just 2.8 actual assists per game.

With Tyler Herro back in the lineup and handling the ball more, I don’t see the playmaking chances for Rozier going up. He’s also a player I would consider fading in his PRA prop, as he took a step back in the offense last game with Herro returning.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.