The Miami Heat are in the midst of a six-game losing streak, but they have a chance to turn things around against the Phoenix Suns, who are playing the second night of a back-to-back on Monday.
Still, I don’t love betting a side in this game, so we’re going to focus on the prop market for some of the top picks today – including a prop for Heat newcomer Terry Rozier.
Plus, there is an angle for one of the Suns’ Big 3 that is impossible to pass up given this player’s recent games.
Let’s break down each pick for Monday night:
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Suns vs. Heat best NBA prop bets
- Jimmy Butler OVER 25.5 points and rebounds
- Terry Rozier OVER 9.5 assists and rebounds
- Devin Booker OVER 30.5 points
Jimmy Butler OVER 25.5 points and rebounds
Jimmy Butler showed some more aggression on Saturday against the New York Knicks, taking 20 shots and scoring 28 points to go with eight rebounds.
The Heat need him to be that aggressive if they’re going to snap this six-game losing streak.
Butler is averaging just 5.0 rebounds per game this season, which is way down from his three previous seasons (5.9, 5.9 and 6.9). I think he’s due for some positive regression in that category, and if he goes anywhere near 20-shot attempts tonight, he should clear this prop with ease.
Terry Rozier OVER 9.5 assists and rebounds
Terry Rozier is struggling with his shot in Miami, but he has made up for it with some solid passing, recording seven dimes against the Knicks on Saturday.
Rozier has tallied nine, five and 12 assists and rebounds in his first three games with the Heat.
As he gets more comfortable in the offense, I expect Rozier to continue to initiate more offense. Also, Rozier is averaging 8.0 potential assists per game with Miami, including 10.0 in his matchup against New York.
On the season, the Heat guard is averaging 3.9 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. I think he comes closer to his season averages as he gets more time in Miami.
Devin Booker OVER 30.5 points
Devin Booker is a must bet right now.
Over his last three games, he’s scored 44, 62, and 46 points and that’s not even mentioning a 52-point game earlier this month.
Booker is going crazy, and the Suns seem to have no problem feeding him early and often. He’s had multiple 20-plus point quarters this month, and Booker has taken at least 23 shots in five of his last six games.
Even against a usually stout Heat defense, Booker is a must bet until he cools off from this hot streak.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.