Heat vs. Bulls prediction and odds for Monday, Nov. 20 (Bet on Heat to split home and home)

Nov 18, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bulls guard Zach LaVine (8) defends Miami Heat forward
Nov 18, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bulls guard Zach LaVine (8) defends Miami Heat forward / David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat saw their seven-game win streak snapped Saturday night in a five-point win by the Chicago Bulls. The Heat will look to get their revenge tonight as they will take on the short-home underdog Bulls in the second game of a home-and-home.

In Saturday night’s loss in South Beach, Miami had three players in double figures, including Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, who scored 25 and 24 points. However, that wasn’t enough, as all five Bulls starters were in double figures.

The last time we saw the Bulls at the United Center, they dropped back-to-back games to the Orlando Magic. Meanwhile, the Heat have won three straight road games, so this could be a good spot for them.

Here are the odds and our best bet for Miami-Chicago:

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Heat vs. Bulls odds, spread and total

Heat vs. Bulls how to watch

  • Date: Monday, Nov. 20
  • Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: United Center
  • How to Watch (TV): NBC Sports Chicago, Bally Sports Sun
  • Heat Record: 8-5
  • Bulls Record: 5-9

Heat vs. Bulls injury reports

Miami Heat injury report

  • R.J. Hampton (out, knee)
  • Tyler Herro (out, ankle)
  • Kevin Love (available, shoulder)
  • Josh Richardson (available, back)
  • Dru Smith (available, shoulder)

Chicago Bulls injury report

  • Lonzo Ball (out, knee)
  • Alex Caruso (probable, toe)
  • Dalen Terry (doubtful, knee)

Heat vs. Bulls key players to watch

Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson: Robinson was one of the three players who scored in double figures for the Heat in Saturday’s loss. The 29-year-old forward had 17 points on 5-of-9 shooting from the field and 4-of-5 shooting from beyond the arc. Robinson also dished out seven assists (team-high) and grabbed three rebounds. 

Robinson has shot the ball well since entering the starting lineup on Nov. 11, scoring 19.6 points per game on 47.8% from the field and 45.2% from three-point range. The Heat hope the veteran forward can keep it up against a Bulls squad that allows teams to shoot 36.3% from deep this season.

Jimmy Butler: Butler is coming off a 25-point performance against his former team on Saturday night. The star forward shot an efficient 8-of-16 from the field and 2-of-5 from three-point range. The 34-year-old Butler has played well over the last three games, scoring 31 points per game on 61.2% shooting from the field and 41.7% from three. We should expect another good game from the veteran wing as the Heat try to continue their momentum on the road.

Chicago Bulls

DeMar DeRozan: DeRozan played an integral role in the Bulls’ 21-point comeback against the Heat over the weekend. DeRozan led Chicago with 23 points on 6-of-12 shooting from the field and 2-of-4 from three-point range. He also made it a point of emphasis to get to the free throw line, going 9-of-13. This season, the 34-year-old DeRozan has noticeably played better at home (24.4 ppg, 3.5 apg, and 3.3 rpg) than on the road (16.8 ppg, 5.6 apg, and 3.0 rpg).

Nikola Vucevic: With so much attention on the perimeter play in tonight’s game, we can’t forget the battle inside the paint between Nikola Vucevic and Bam Adebayo. Adebayo got the better of Vucevic on Saturday night with 24 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. 

Ultimately, Vucevic got the last laugh as the Bulls won by five points. However, he must play better than 15 points and eight rebounds if Chicago wants to win tonight. Vucevic hasn’t played his best at home this season, averaging 14.9 points and 9.7 rebounds per game.

Heat vs. Bulls prediction and pick

The Heat had their seven-game winning streak abruptly ended by the Bulls, who came back from 21 points and outrebounded by 10 boards. Miami will try to not let that happen tonight on the road, where they’ve won their last four games by 6.3 points per game. The Heat held their opponents to 107.2 points per game over that four-game stretch.

Defense has been Miami’s calling card this season, as they are ranked 11th in DRtg (112). Butler and Adebayo play a large part in the Heat’s defensive scheme and will have their work cut out for them against the Bulls. 

Miami is 1-3 against the spread after a loss and 1-3 ATS as a road favorite. However, the Bulls aren’t that much better as they are 0-4 ATS after a win this season but are 4-5 ATS at home. It’s tough to trust which Bulls’ team will show up nightly. As we saw over the weekend, when they play up to their potential, they can beat a Heat team that was in the NBA Finals last season.

But on the other hand, this team just dropped two games at home to Orlando that were winnable. Points will be at a premium in tonight’s game as both teams ranked within the top 15 in DRtg, but I see the Heat walking away with the win.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.