Heat vs. Hawks NBA expert prediction, pick and odds for Tuesday, April 9 (Lay the points with Miami)

NBA betting preview, prediction and best bet for Heat vs. Hawks
Apr 7, 2024; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro (14) shoots the ball against the Pacers.
Apr 7, 2024; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro (14) shoots the ball against the Pacers. / Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

Two current play-in tournament teams will square off Tuesday night when the Miami Heat visit the Atlanta Hawks. Miami has dropped two of its last three games, but the Heat, currently the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference, are just two games back of the No. 6 Pacers.

With three of its final four games against sub-.500 teams, the Heat can still play their way into an automatic postseason berth. They’ll try to take care of business against Atlanta, which is locked into a play-in tournament slot and has lost back-to-back contests. 

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Heat vs. Hawks odds, spread and total

Heat vs. Hawks how to watch

  • Date: Tuesday, April 9
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. EST
  • Venue: State Farm Arena
  • How to watch (TV): Bally Sports
  • Heat record: 43-35
  • Hawks record: 36-42

Heat vs. Hawks injury report

Miami Heat

  • Bam Adebayo (hand): probable
  • Nikola Jovic (ankle): probable
  • Kevin Love (ankle): sprain
  • Josh Richardson (shoulder): out
  • Duncan Robinson (face): out
  • Orlando Robinson (back): probable
  • Terry Rozier (neck): questionable

Atlanta Hawks

  • Saddiq Bey (knee): out
  • AJ Griffin (ankle): out
  • Seth Lundy (ankle): out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (toe): out
  • Trae Young (finger): out 

Heat vs. Hawks key players to watch

Miami Heat

Tyler Herro: After missing over a month, Herro returned on Friday in Miami’s 119-104 win over Houston. In two games back from injury, Herro has combined for 38 points on 50% shooting (13-of-26) and 4-of-11 from downtown. He turned in 21 points off the bench with three triples in Sunday’s two-point loss to Indiana. 

Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela: The 6-foot-10 center was held to just six points in Thursday’s loss to Dallas. He recovered from a scoring perspective in Saturday’s loss to Denver, turning in 19 points. Capela continues to be a double-double machine (eight in his last 10 games). He is averaging 11.5 points and 10.7 rebounds per game while shooting 56.9% from the field. 

Heat vs. Hawks prediction and pick

Miami is finally getting healthy and the Heat have shown the ability to bounce back in recent action. Since a four-game losing streak in early March, Miami has gone 5-0 straight up and 5-0 ATS following a loss.

The spot favors the Heat, which has been better outside of Miami this season. The Heat are 23-15-2 ATS on the road this season, the best mark in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, Atlanta has been bad for backers inside State Farm Center, going 15-24 ATS at home, the third-worst mark in the NBA.

Atlanta may have kept its season alive without Trae Young, but its defense is still giving up points in droves. The Hawks are 28th in the NBA in scoring defense and 29th in giving up points at home (121 per game). 

Atlanta is 28th in the NBA defending against 3-pointers and Miami is getting healthier with some of its better-scoring weapons, including Herro and his ability to light it up from the perimeter. Miami bounces back again and continues to play well on the road. Lay the short number with the Heat. 

Game odds update periodically and are subject to change.